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Viewpoint: "Tariff Day" boots landed, risky assets may usher in a brief rebound
咖喱GetGei
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03-31 11:50
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1. StoneX全球市场研究主管Matt Weller称“市场厌恶不确定性”是华尔街古训,关税声明的模糊性打击了风险偏好,靴子落地时风险资产和美元或短暂反弹,但特朗普4月2日后若继续加征关税,风险资产反弹将短暂,除非政策结束。 2. Argent Capital投资组合经理Jed Ellerbroek表示关税不确定性使资金流入低波动性和价值股,科技巨头近期表现不佳印证市场防御心态。 3. Jed Ellerbroek认为扭转风险厌恶,提高关税政策的透明度是必要前提。
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On March 31, Matt Weller, head of global market research at StoneX, emphasized in his latest report that "market aversion to uncertainty" is an ancient motto on Wall Street. The ambiguity of tariff statements has undoubtedly hit risk appetite. "Once the boots land, risky assets and the US dollar may rebound briefly." But he warned that if Trump continues to increase tariffs after April 2, "any rebound in risk assets will be a flash in the pan unless traders are convinced that these economic disruptive policies have been completely over."


And Jed Ellerbroek, portfolio manager at Argent Capital, observed that this tariff uncertainty is driving funds into low-volatility and value stocks, while the weak performance of tech giants over the past few weeks has confirmed the market's defensive mentality. He believes that to reverse this risk aversion, "improving visibility of tariff policies is a necessary prerequisite."

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