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Analysts: The market is waiting for Trump's tariffs to be implemented, and it is entirely possible for a rebound in Q2
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趋势观察者
04-01 12:10
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1. 目前市场处于观望模式,关税细节未披露,投资者情绪不一,部分视近期下跌为“逢低买入”机会,很多交易员选择观望等局势明朗。 2. 大家期望特朗普支持加密货币的立场有立竿见影效果,但政策生效需时间,全球经济不确定性带来避险氛围,2024年底市场已消化特朗普获胜预期。 3. 二季度经济复苏“有很大可能”,美联储普遍预计二季度降息,特朗普团队在支持加密货币方面会有更多具体成果。 4. 随着机构资金流入增加,若比特币突破88668美元阻力位,可能再次试探10万美元,但宏观因素停滞的话,下跌可能性也不高。 5. 特朗普预计周三下午3点(北京时间次日凌晨3点)宣布相应关税措施,已宣布几项“大规模关税” 。
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On April 1, Presto research analyst Min Jung said: "Currently, the market is in a wait-and-see mode, as the tariff details have not been disclosed. Investors' sentiment is mixed, and some investors believe the impact may not be as severe as initially worried, viewing the recent decline as a potential "buy on dips". However, many traders still choose to stay on the wait-and-see until the situation becomes clearer. The next move of the market will largely depend on the tone and content of the actual announcement."


"Everyone expects Trump's stance to support cryptocurrency will have immediate effect, but the reality is that the policy will take time. Global economic uncertainty has fueled a risk-averse atmosphere everywhere, and by the end of 2024, the market has digested Trump's expectations of winning. However, the second-quarter economic recovery is "certainly possible", with the Federal Reserve generally expecting a rate cut in the second quarter, and Trump's team will also come up with more concrete results in supporting cryptocurrencies. With the increase in institutional funding flows, the momentum may increase, and if Bitcoin breaks through the $88,668 resistance level, it may test $100,000 again, but if macroscopic factors stagnate, the possibility of a decline is not high."


Note: Trump is expected to announce corresponding tariff measures at 3 pm on Wednesday (3:00 am Beijing time the next day). Several "large-scale tariffs" have been announced.

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