• ETH traded within a falling channel as active addresses and MVRV flashed accumulation signals.
• Whales and OGs were unloading, but metrics suggested a potential market bottom forming.

Ethereum [ETH] long-term holders have officially entered “capitulation” territory, with the LTH-NUPL metric dipping into the red for the first time in months. This shift reflects growing losses among seasoned holders and often signals the final phase of a bearish cycle. 

At press time, Ethereum was trading at $1,591.63, showing a 7.32% increase in the last 24 hours.

In other words, even with prolonged downside pressure, short-term price action now hints at a possible momentum shift.

ETH price action, user activity, and MVRV signal market stress

Ethereum’s price action remains confined to a steep descending channel, characterized by consistently lower highs and lows since November 2024.

After rebounding strongly from the $1,460 support zone, the price is now facing resistance near $1,815, a level where bears could attempt to assert control.

That said, if the bulls manage to reclaim the $1,815 level, it could shift the market structure to bullish and set the stage for a challenge of the upper channel resistance.

However, until this happens, downside pressure will persist, with potential retests of key support levels if momentum fades.

Meanwhile, on-chain activity tells a different story.

Daily active addresses surged to 573,000 and transaction count hit 1.42 million on the 9th of April, marking a significant spike in user engagement.

This increased participation—despite price weakness—suggests rising interest in Ethereum’s ecosystem at discounted prices. 

Additionally, the MVRV Long/Short Difference has plummeted to -22.26 %, a level often associated with maximum pain and ideal accumulation during historical bottoms.

Whale moves and OG selling confirm capitulation risk-off mood

Interestingly enough, whale behavior has intensified.

Over 530,000 ETH was moved across major wallets in just the past week, typically pointing to strategic accumulation or rebalancing.

Even more telling is a dormant Ethereum OG that acquired ETH back in 2016 and offloaded 10,702 ETH worth $16.86 million at just $1,576. 

Interestingly, this whale has consistently sold only during periods of significant market corrections, even avoiding sales when ETH surpassed $4,000.

Such actions may indicate strategic exits or attempts at psychological manipulation designed to provoke retail panic, setting the stage for eventual market recovery.

Is now the best time to buy Ethereum?

Ethereum’s long-term holder capitulation, extreme MVRV readings, and increased whale activity all point to a classic accumulation setup. Rising network usage adds further confirmation that interest remains strong under the surface. 

Therefore, despite short-term volatility, all signals indicate that Ethereum is trading in a high-probability reversal zone.

Smart investors may view this as one of the best risk-reward entry points before the next bullish leg unfolds.