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分析师:比特币/VIX比率触及趋势线,或已再次确立长期底部
加密禅师
加密禅师
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链上智者
04-13 12:42
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4 月 13 日,据 CoinDesk 报道,分析师 James Van Straten 发布图表分析称,由特朗普关税政策不确定性引发的本轮市场抛售始于 4 月 3 日,此后市场持续剧烈震荡,恐慌情绪蔓延至股债两市,黄金价格飙升至历史新高,美元指数 (DXY) 则自 2023 年 7 月以来首次跌破 100 关口。标普波动率指数 (VIX) 飙升至去年 8 月以来最高水平,而比特币/VIX 比率触及长期趋势线,历史数据显示这往往预示比特币价格底部。


据 TradingView 数据,当前比特币/VIX 比率已达 1903 点,触及长期趋势线。该趋势线上次生效时正值日元套利交易平仓引发的市场波动期,彼时比特币在 49,000 美元附近筑底。事实上,这已是该比率第四次触及趋势线后形成市场底部:此前在 2020 年 3 月新冠疫情危机期间,以及更早的 2015 年 8 月均出现相同模式,随后均开启上涨行情。若该趋势线继续发挥可靠支撑作用,可能意味着比特币已再次确立长期底部。

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