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彼得·希夫警告:美国经济如“纸牌屋”,濒临崩溃!
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23h ago
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依赖货币通胀、贸易逆差和人为低利率的虚假繁荣即将终结,全球资本正逃离美国转向亚洲与贵金属,而美联储的救市措施或将加剧通胀风暴。
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彼得·希夫(Peter Schiff)在近期播客中与格伦·迪森(Glenn Diesen)对话时,犀利指出美国经济的脆弱本质:“我们靠印钞消费他国商品,世界承受我们的通胀,我们自以为占了便宜”,但这种模式实为透支未来——外国资本正用美元纸钞收购美国股票、债券和房地产,“我们挥霍当下,却抵押了子孙的财富”。

结构性失衡已无退路。希夫强调,若想真正重建经济,美国必须削减医保、社保和国防开支,“但政客们绝无勇气推行改革”。当前体系建立于三大泡沫之上:美元高估值、贸易逆差和人为压低的利率,而这一切即将崩塌。更严峻的是,对等关税政策将把通胀从金融市场逼向实体经济,加速衰退到来:“我们已处于滞胀中,未来只会更糟——通胀飙升与经济疲软并存。”

资本流向印证危机。希夫发现,欧洲、亚洲和南美股票单日涨幅达3%-6%,而美国遭遇资金外流,“这与特朗普的期望完全相反,资本正在逃离而非涌入美国”

鉴于这一现实,彼得向投资者提供了实用的建议,鼓励他们从价格过高的美国资产转向基本面更为稳健的海外投资机会,尤其是贵金属。

他建议投资者转向黄金和矿业股:“金价突破3000美元后仍将上涨,各国央行增持黄金、减持美债的趋势不可逆转。”但这对美国政府无异于噩耗——“谁来接盘巨额赤字?唯有美联储印钞购债,进一步推高通胀”

相比之下,全球其他经济体只需“将现有产能转向内需”即可脱困,使自己与不断崩溃的美元脱钩。“世界只需让工厂为自己生产,而非供养美国人”,而美国却面临地狱级挑战:“我们必须在零工厂基础上重建一切——这才是真正的绝望之路。”

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