CryptoQuant CEO：若比特币在Q4前创下ATH，则将彻底抛弃周期理论

丹丹Adane

趋势预测者

4 月 23 日，CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju 在社交媒体上发文表示：

「在我宣布牛市周期结束后，比特币一度下跌了 10%，但如今价格已比自己做出判断时高出 10%。

我仍认为我们处于宽幅震荡区间。若突破 10 万美元关口，我会欣然认错。在此之前，我会继续观察数周数据，以确认这是否是真正的趋势反转。

我的分析重点是基于链上数据的长期供需关系。但在这个对特朗普每句话都作出反应的市场里，短期价格走势更多受事件驱动，这使得传统的周期性链上指标难以奏效。当然，即便是链上分析师之间，对数据的解读也可能大相径庭。

若比特币在四季度前创出历史新高，我将彻底抛弃周期理论。没有明确周期的市场，可能会与我们既往认知截然不同。届时，死多头们才是对的——永续上涨。」

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