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又一国全民炒金!土耳其黄金合约溢价飙至21%
货币探险家
货币探险家
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资深研究
04-25 10:03
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不是抢金条,土耳其人正疯狂扫“国家发的黄金凭证”,价格比实物金还贵出21%。
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土耳其掀起新一轮“黄金热”,这波热情不仅推高了实物黄金价格,也拉大了它与“数字黄金工具”之间的价格差。实物黄金是土耳其长期以来的投资宠儿。

据本地券商Gedik Yatirim AS提供的数据,在伊斯坦布尔交易所上市的黄金凭证,本质上每份代表的是0.01克金条,理论上价格应该跟着实物黄金走。但就在本周,这类凭证的溢价飙升到了创纪录的21%。

研究分析师Burak Pirlanta表示,自3月起,随着全球局势紧张、金价上涨,投资者对这类产品的兴趣迅速上升,导致凭证价格脱离实物金价。

土耳其是全球主要的黄金消费国之一。国内金矿产量满足不了需求,进口依赖很大,而土耳其央行还拥有优先购买本国产金的权利。

不少人开始转向这种由国家发行的黄金凭证,因为它们可以通过手机App随时交易,不仅买卖价差小、免税,还可以选择换成实物金条。

Pirlanta表示,与传统的实物黄金避险买家不同,黄金凭证投资者“更可能是那些偏好流动性强、成本低、具有税收优势的投资工具、具备较高金融素养、并倾向于数字化渠道的个人”。

政府多次尝试引导民众将“藏在床垫下”的储蓄纳入正规金融体系。黄金凭证在2022年11月上线,正是为了给这种传统储蓄方式提供一个现代替代选项——在此之前,很多人主要是去伊斯坦布尔历史悠久的大巴扎买金。

不过,眼下凭证和实物黄金之间的这道“价差”可能不会持续太久。

Metals Focus Ltd.顾问Cagdas Kucukemiroglu指出,“黄金凭证的需求看起来高度投机化,主要受到活跃于股市的投资者青睐,而并不代表更广泛市场中对实物黄金的真实需求。目前凭证的溢价是不可持续的。”

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