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Ark Invest上调比特币2030年牛市目标价格至240万美元,基于更激进模型预测
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链上智者
04-25 14:41
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4 月 25 日,据 The Block 报道,Cathie Wood 旗下的 Ark Invest 将其对比特币的牛市价格预测从此前的 150 万美元上调至 240 万美元(目标时间为 2030 年),这一调整基于其最新采用的模型。


在周四发布的一份报告中,Ark Invest 分析师 David Puell 表示,该机构最初对 2030 年比特币牛市情况下的价格预测约为 150 万美元。然而,采用了 Ark 最新的实验性模型后,该预测被上调至 240 万美元。该模型在计算中考虑了比特币的流通供应量,即剔除了丢失或长期持有的比特币。


报告指出,这一牛市价格预测基于比特币从 2024 年底至 2030 年底约 72% 的年复合增长率(CAGR)。与此同时,使用这一更「激进」的实验性模型(相比 Ark 官方模型更进取),该报告预测比特币在基准情境下的价格为 120 万美元(年复合增长率 53%),在熊市情境下的价格为 50 万美元(年复合增长率 32%)。

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